Christmas e-tail market forecast to surpass $25 billion

Despite difficult economic conditions and the events of September 11, worldwide on-line holiday shopping sales are projected to reach $25.3 billion this year, a 39% increase over last year, according to US-based researchers Gartner.24 Oct 2001

"The increase in on-line holiday shopping sales will be driven by increases in on-line users, buyers, and most importantly, the experience level of on-line buyers, which our research indicates is the single most important predictor of online spending," said Mike Cruz, a Gartner analyst.

Of the total on-line holiday sales, 53% or $13.4 billion, will be made outside of North America compared to 50% last year. While North America will continue to lead all regions in on-line holiday sales, the other regions are showing stronger growth rates.

"In 1999, many consumers were disappointed with the operational and customer service performance of on-line vendors. The result was that over half of those who bought gifts on-line in 1999 stayed away from holiday buying on-line in 2000," said David Schehr, research director for Gartner. "Satisfaction was much higher in 2000, with three-quarters of buyers saying they were very satisfied with their experience. This means there will be less attrition from those who bought on-line last year, and those returning this year are likely to increase their spending levels."

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